7 Steps to Picking a Starting Pitcher in Daily Fantasy Baseball.
“How the hell did you pick ______?” This question seems to come up a lot when it comes to starting pitching. There is usually 1 (at least) obvious pick every day when it comes to stud fantasy pitchers. But how do we go about picking that sneaky tournament guy, or deciding between 2 studs? Let’s jump into my process when it comes to starting pitching.
2) The next stat is the Opposing Team’s K% vs that hand of pitcher. The Brewers strikeout 26% of the time vs righties, the highest in MLB. But their are 5 teams with a higher K% than their 23% vs lefties. Strikeouts provide an amazing floor in daily fantasy. The other day, Stephen Strasburg gave up 6 earned runs, but he had 10 strikeouts to go with it, not completely destroying your day and your bankroll! This can help find sneaky tournament plays too when a cheap SP is going against a high K% team.
4) Now it’s time to double check your research and see what Vegas thinks of your favorite starting pitchers. RotoGrinders updates each team’s Projected Run Total throughout the day on their MLB Odds page. You can paste these right into your spreadsheet and sort by the lowest projected team total.
5) Win Probability. If Stephen Strasburg is on the mound, we take the Nationals projected run total minus his opponents. This is really helpful on FanDuel where the win bonus for a starting pitcher is big .
6) Weather. This is HUGE. You can’t win anything if the game doesn’t play, or if your pitcher gets in a rain delay after the first inning and doesn’t come back. RotoGrinders has a great weather page with Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. He gives updates right up until first pitch, as well as on twitter.
7) News. Check your favorite news site for breaking news on your pitchers. I like to use the RotoWire Fantasy Baseball iPad app.
Bonus: The Fantasy Blueprint is meant to cut down on research time, but if you have more time for research, Brooks Baseball has a ton of info where you can read up on pitchers.
Here's a quick glance at part of my Starting Pitcher spreadsheet: